In response to the slowing pace of economic activity and intensified turmoil in financial markets, the Federal Reserve cut the its key rate by 50 basis points, or 0.5%, last week ahead of its regularly scheduled meeting at the end of October. The action was globally orchestrated with banks around the world, including the Bank of England, the European Central Bank and others in Canada, China, Switzerland and Sweden, who also cut rates on the same day. There are multiple ways this cut will have a direct effect on consumers:
- The Prime Rate will follow the Fed Fund rate cut and also drop by 0.5% – currently standing at 4.5%
- Auto loans, equity lines and credit cards with rates tied to prime will now be cheaper
So why didn’t mortgage rates go down? Two main reasons…
- Mortgage rates are set based on where mortgage bonds trade in the open market. They are not directly tied to the Fed Fund Rate although monetary policy does play a big part in mortgage rates. However, the bond market tends to anticipate any monetary policy action the Fed takes so usually by the time the Fed acts, the rate cut has already been fully priced into the bond market.
- Also, amid the current financial chaos, investors are selling assets across the board – equities and bonds included. This sell-off, combined with record volatility in the market, is causing a short-term increase in rates. Don’t get me wrong…rates are still quite good…just a bit higher than we saw the past week.
Along those lines, I keep hearing in the media (as I’m sure you do!) that banks aren’t lending to each other or to consumers and that borrowers are unable to get mortgages, car loans or equity lines due to the credit freeze. This is absolutely not the case so let me once again be clear on this…WE ARE CLOSING MORTGAGE LOANS!! We are processing, underwriting, and closing loans daily and have money to lend!
So…as usual…don’t believe all you hear from the supposed experts on TV!
Stacey Fleece is a Mortgage Loan Consultant with Countrywide Home Loans in Mill Valley.