Marin real estate market ripe with opportunity

According to a MarketWatch article, wealthy Americans see the sluggish economy as a great opportunity to purchase real estate.  The full article, Sunny Side of the Street, is well worth a read.  Some highlights:

  • 77% of wealthy (defined as people earning more than $500,000/year in discretionary income) think real estate presents a buying opportunity right now.  Yes, you can finally find a “deal”! 
  • 40% of those people are expected to purchase real estate in 2008.
  • 41% of the wealthy think owning a second home is a “requirement” for people of their economic means
  • The number of millionaires is expected to increase by 6% this year

I think those surveyed are wealthy and wise.  Even in Marin, you can actually find “a deal”.  I know buyers who have been looking for “a deal” for years.  What are you waiting for now?

Fed Cuts Rates 0.75, Bear Stearns Collapses

Can you say volatility with a capital V? The Federal Reserve cut rates today by 3/4 of a percent in an effort to aid the U.S. economy. This is no surprise in the wake of the Bear Stearns financial crisis, coupled with everything everything else going on in the market. The Fed has cut the benchmark lending rate by 2 percentage points just this year, the most significant cuts in nearly three decades! Sofia Nadjibi, mortgage broker at Union Trust in Greenbrae had this to say in an email today about the rate cut:

History shows us that in the wake of a Fed cut, Bond pricing may initially pop a bit higher in response, but generally very quickly reverses direction and gets worse. Fed cuts fuel inflation, because the lower rates just serve to make it more attractive to buy and finance goods and services…and remember, inflation is BAD for Long-Term Interest Rates, so we will likely see higher interest rates in the next few weeks.

Strap your seatbelt on and hold on tight. We are in tough times and they are going to continue for a while. This is a great opportunity for aggressive buyers to take advantage of the current economic climate and to negotiate hard. There are some amazing opportunities in the marketplace and in general, buyers are in the driver’s seat.

Ross Home Sales February 2008

The median home sale price in Ross was $6,750,000 in February 2008. The number of homes on the market is just slightly higher from one year ago (14 Ross listings in February 2008 vs 13 Ross listings in February 2007), while the number of Ross homes under contract stayed flat.

The number of closed sales was up significantly from one year ago with four compared to just one Ross home sold in February 2007.

Ross
Homes
Feb 2007 Feb 2008 ∆ % ∆
For Sale 13 14 1 7.69
Under Contract 1 1 0 0
Sold 1 4 3 300.0
Ross Sales List Price Sales Price
19 El Camino Bueno $2,095,000 $1,665,000
59 Bridge Rd $7,100,000 $5,500,000
2 Upper Rd W $10,000,000 $8,000,000
104 Laurel Grove Avenue $8,500,000 $8,500,000

Mill Valley Home Sales February 2008

The median home sale price in Mill Valley was $1,063,500 in February 2008, down from $1,255,000 in January, and down from $1,125,000 one year ago in February 2007. The number of homes on the market dropped 20% from one year ago, while the number of Mill Valley homes under contract dropped over 45%.

The number of closed Mill Valley home sales was down almost 68% from one year ago.  The average days on the market in Mill Valley was 58 in February.

Mill Valley
Homes
Feb 2007 Feb 2008 ∆ % ∆
For Sale 103 82 -21 -20.39
Under Contract 22 12 -10 -45.45
Sold 25 8 -17 -68.00

San Anselmo Home Sales February 2008

The median home sale price in San Anselmo was $929,000 in February 2008, down from $1,000,000 in January, and down from $1,110,000 one year ago in February 2007. The number of homes on the market dropped almost 34% from one year ago, while the number of San Anselmo homes under contract stayed flat.

The number of closed sales was down almost 27% from one year ago. The average days on the market in San Anselmo was 59 in February.

San Anselmo
Homes
Feb 2007 Feb 2008 ∆ % ∆
For Sale 53 35 -18 -33.96
Under Contract 8 8 0 0
Sold 15 11 -4 -26.67

Fairfax Home Sales February 2008

The median home sale price in Fairfax, CA was $630,000 in February 2008, down from $672,00 in January, and down from $735,000 one year ago in February 2007. The number of Fairfax homes on the market stayed flat from one year ago, while the number of Fairfax, CA homes under contract increased.

The number of closed sales was down almost 45% from one year ago. The average days on the market in Fairfax was 110 in February.

Fairfax, CA Homes Feb 2007 Feb 2008 ∆ % ∆
For Sale 17 17 0 0
Under Contract 4 7 3 75.00
Sold 9 5 -4 -44.44

Spring has sprung, the Marin real estate market has not..

While it is not technically spring, it sure feels like it.  73 degree temperatures and a slight burn from my open sunroof- I feel like spring has sprung.  The spring real estate market may be here but Marin real estate sales activity is still surprising low.  In February 2008, there were 86 single family home sales in Marin County. In February 2007, there were 141 single family Marin home sales.

Marin real estate sales volume is down almost 40%!

Interestingly enough, we have seen a resurgence of multiple offers in the last couple of weeks. Buyers are out looking for new listings. One San Rafael listing received three offers and went $100,000 over asking price!  Another Marin house listed under $1,000,000 received five offers.

If the listing is old, many buyers won’t even look at it. The initial offering price is absolutely crucial. Staging and property preparation is also more important than ever.  Homes that are not properly prepared are sitting on the market unless they are priced very fair.

When will the typically busy spring Marin real estate market hit?

We are still waiting!

Sausalito Home Sales January 2008

The median home sale price in Sausalito was $1,850,000 in January 2008.  The number of Sausalito homes on the market decreased almost 50% from one year ago.   No Sausalito homes went in to contract in January.  The number of homes sold stayed flat with five homes selling. 

Sausalito
Homes
Jan 2007 Jan 2008

∆

% ∆

For Sale 31 14 -17 -54.84
Under Contract 4 0 -4 0.00
Sold 5 5 0 0.00

*Single family homes only

Novato Home Sales January 2008

The median home sale price in Novato was $637,000 in January 2008.  The number of Novato homes on the market increased just over 21% from one year ago.   The number of homes going in to contract increased 8%, a positive sign for Novato.  The number of homes sold decreased by 6 units or 33.33%. 

The average days on the market in Novato was 92, up slightly from 88 days in January 2007.

Novato
Homes
Jan 2007 Jan 2008

∆

% ∆

For Sale 193 234 41 21.24
Under Contract 25 27 2 8.00
Sold 18 12 -6 -33.33

*Single family homes only

Larkspur Home Sales January 2008

The median home sale price in Larkspur was $1,929,500 in January 2008.  The stats look very similar to January of 2007, with two fewer homes sold.

Larkspur
Homes
Jan 2007 Jan 2008

∆

% ∆

For Sale 11 10 -1 -9.09
Under Contract 1 1 0 0.00
Sold 4 2 -2 -50.00

*Single family homes only